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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 10 August 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 August 2024. Shanghai Shenhua vs Nantong Zhiyun (Shanghai Shenhua or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 93%
Shanghai Shenhua
5 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 90%
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 84%
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Criciuma
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 84%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
1 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 83%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Fenerbahçe
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 81%
Leeds
3 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile Deportes Copiapo or draw 81%
Deportes Copiapo
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 80%
Peterborough
0 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 79%
Lokomotiv
2 : 0 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 78%
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Göztepe
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 78%
FC Sion
2 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 78%
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Gefle IF or draw 77%
Gefle IF
0 : 4 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League Two Β· England Gillingham or draw 77%
Gillingham
4 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 77%
FC Porto
3 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 77%
Anderlecht
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria WSG Wattens or draw 77%
WSG Wattens
0 : 0 FT
Grazer AK
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon City FC or draw 76%
Suwon City FC
1 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 10 August 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shanghai Shenhua vs Nantong Zhiyun (Shanghai Shenhua or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.