Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 11 August 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to IF Elfsborg vs Gais (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 88% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 77%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
88%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo or draw
87%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav or draw
86%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves or draw
85%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen or draw
84%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap or draw
83%
Serie A · Brazil
Cruzeiro or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor or draw
80%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano or draw
80%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido or draw
79%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
79%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge or draw
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Bahia or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
78%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi or draw
77%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
77%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United or draw
77%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 11 August 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IF Elfsborg vs Gais (IF Elfsborg or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.