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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 May 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 11 May 2024. Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) led the list at 92% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 92%

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 90%

Premier League · England Everton or draw 88%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 87%

Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 86%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 85%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

K League 1 · South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 84%

#10

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#11

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Canadian Premier League · Canada York United or draw 84%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Vienna or draw 83%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#14

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 82%

#15

Super League · China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 81%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

#17

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#18

La Liga · Spain Mallorca or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#19

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Raed or draw 79%

#20

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm (Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.