Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 9 March 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 9 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Norwich vs Rotherham (Norwich or draw) at 93% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship · England
Norwich or draw
93%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
89%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht or draw
87%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC or draw
87%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United or draw
86%
La Liga · Spain
Girona or draw
85%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
81%
League Two · England
Walsall or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
81%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 9 March 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Rotherham (Norwich or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.