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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 6 January 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 6 January 2024. Inter vs Hellas Verona (Inter or draw) led the list at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 89%

League One · England Derby or draw 87%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 82%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 82%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

Serie A · Italy Lecce or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%

League One · England Exeter City or draw 81%

Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 71% Exeter City Clean Sheet 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Farense or draw 80%

Süper Lig · Turkey Rizespor or draw 79%

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 79%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

#10

League Two · England Mansfield Town or draw 79%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#12

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 77%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#13

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#14

Serie A · Italy Fiorentina or draw 76%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 6 January 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Hellas Verona (Inter or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.