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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 7 January 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 7 January 2024. Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos (Panathinaikos or draw) sits top on 92% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 92%
Panathinaikos
2 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panserraikos or draw 87%
Panserraikos
1 : 1 FT
Kifisia
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%
Galatasaray
3 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%
İstanbulspor
1 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 83%
AS Roma
1 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 81%
Famalicao
2 : 2 FT
Chaves
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 79%
Kayserispor
1 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 79%
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 78%
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 77%
PAS Giannina
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Rio Ave or draw 76%
Rio Ave
2 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 76%
Empoli
0 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 7 January 2024?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos (Panathinaikos or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.