Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 December 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 17 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha or draw) at 91% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
91%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
90%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
88%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid or draw
87%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
85%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa or draw
85%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
84%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA or draw
82%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern or draw
82%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
82%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli or draw
82%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas or draw
81%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp or draw
80%
Championship · England
West Brom or draw
80%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 December 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Teplice (Sparta Praha or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.