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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 11 November 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 11 November 2023. Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 97% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 83%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 97%

✓ Over 2.5 87% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 89%

BTTS No 60% Juventus Clean Sheet 53%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 88%

Championship · England Watford or draw 87%

Serie B · Italy Bari or draw 87%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 86%

#10

Bundesliga · Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece Atromitos or draw 85%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Superettan · Sweden Skövde AIK or draw 85%

#13

League One · England Shrewsbury or draw 85%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%

#15

Superettan · Sweden IK brage or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%

#16

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 84%

Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%

#17

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%

#18

Bundesliga · Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 84%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#20

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 11 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Bayern München or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.