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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 10 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 10 November 2023. Willem II vs Jong Utrecht (Willem II or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Willem II or draw 91%
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 89%
Dordrecht
1 : 4 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 84%
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Waterford or draw 83%
Waterford
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 83%
Fortuna Sittard
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 53%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 82%
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 82%
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 2 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 80%
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Ankaragücü or draw 79%
Ankaragücü
0 : 4 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 79%
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 78%
Sassuolo
2 : 2 FT
Salernitana
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 77%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 77%
Emmen
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 72%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Warta Poznań or draw 76%
Warta Poznań
0 : 2 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine Kolos Kovalivka or draw 76%
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 75%
Jong AZ
2 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 10 November 2023?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Willem II vs Jong Utrecht (Willem II or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.