Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 4 November 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 November 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 90% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 84%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Shandong Luneng or draw
90%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza or draw
90%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
89%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
89%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg or draw
88%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
88%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
87%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo or draw
86%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble or draw
86%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG or draw
85%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
85%
Championship · England
Bristol City or draw
85%
Serie A · Brazil
Gremio or draw
85%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
84%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
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UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 November 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.