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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 5 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 5 November 2023. Slask Wroclaw vs ŁKS Łódź (Slask Wroclaw or draw) sits top on 94% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 94%
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 60% Slask Wroclaw Clean Sheet 57%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hannover 96 or draw 92%
Hannover 96
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 91%
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 3 FT
Atromitos
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 90%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 66%
Draw 24%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 88%
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 66% CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 87%
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 87%
Slovan Liberec
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Valencia or draw 87%
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Toulouse or draw 86%
Toulouse
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 85%
Sporting CP
3 : 2 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Standard Liege or draw 85%
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfL Wolfsburg or draw 85%
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 84%
Raków Częstochowa
5 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
#14 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 84%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden Gais or draw 84%
Jonkopings Sodra
0 : 2 FT
Gais
Win 16%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 83%
FC Krasnodar
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 83%
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 82%
NEC Nijmegen
3 : 3 FT
FC Volendam
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 81%
Luton
1 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 54%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 81%
Al Taawon
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 November 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slask Wroclaw vs ŁKS Łódź (Slask Wroclaw or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.