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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 3 November 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 3 November 2023. Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers (Shamrock Rovers or draw) sits top on 92% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 92%
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 59% Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 87%
Bohemians
4 : 0 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 85%
Helmond Sport
1 : 0 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia or draw 85%
Jagiellonia
4 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 84%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Utsikten or draw 83%
Utsikten
0 : 0 FT
Gefle IF
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 82%
UCD
1 : 5 FT
Dundalk
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 82%
Las Palmas
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 81%
FC Porto
0 : 1 FT
Estoril
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Championship Β· England Leicester or draw 79%
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 77%
Al Shabab
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 77%
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 77%
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 77%
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 3 November 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers (Shamrock Rovers or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.