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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 20 October 2023

Tue 17 Wed 18 Thu 19 Fri 20 Sat 21 Sun 22 Mon 23

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 20 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to BG Pathum United vs Trat FC (BG Pathum United or draw) at 93% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 93%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 86%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 81%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 76%

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#10

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 78%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hannover 96 or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 77%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 76%

#15

Premier League · Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 76%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

#16

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#18

Super League 1 · Greece Lamia or draw 76%

#19

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 76%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 19 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 20 October 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by BG Pathum United vs Trat FC (BG Pathum United or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.