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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 22 September 2023

Tue 19 Wed 20 Thu 21 Fri 22 Sat 23 Sun 24 Mon 25

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 22 September 2023. VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 (VfB Stuttgart or draw) sits top on 96% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 89%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 88%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Premier Division · Ireland Shelbourne or draw 85%

Süper Lig · Turkey İstanbulspor or draw 84%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

Premier Division · Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 81%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Serie A · Italy Lecce or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 80%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Serie B · Italy Palermo or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#11

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 80%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Korona Kielce or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

#13

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 78%

Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

#14

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat or draw 78%

#15

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 78%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

#16

Eredivisie · Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%

#17

Super League · China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 76%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#19

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 75%

#20

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al Wehda Club or draw 75%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 22 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by VfB Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98 (VfB Stuttgart or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.