🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 15 September 2023

Tue 12 Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 September 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 94% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 94%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 68% Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 65%

Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Serie B · Italy Venezia or draw 87%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 87%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 86%

Serie A · Brazil Coritiba or draw 83%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64% Coritiba Clean Sheet 53%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 83%

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

Super League · China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 81%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%

#10

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

#11

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Helmond Sport or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#15

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 78%

#16

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 77%

#17

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge II or draw 76%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 75%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 15 September 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Jonoon (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.