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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 16 September 2023

Wed 13 Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 16 September 2023. Raków Częstochowa vs ŁKS Łódź (Raków Częstochowa or draw) led the list at 94% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 94%

✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 61%

Canadian Premier League · Canada Cavalry FC or draw 92%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Cavalry FC Clean Sheet 57%

Super League · China Meizhou Kejia or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 87%

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 87%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

Premier Division · Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 86%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 86%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#12

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%

#14

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#15

Ligue 2 · France Bastia or draw 84%

#16

Süper Lig · Turkey Kayserispor or draw 84%

#17

League Two · England Crawley Town or draw 83%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%

#18

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#19

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 16 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Raków Częstochowa vs ŁKS Łódź (Raków Częstochowa or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.