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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 3 September 2023

Thu 31 Fri 1 Sat 2 Sun 3 Mon 4 Tue 5 Wed 6

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 3 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Lamia (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) led the list at 93% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 92%

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 91%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF or draw 88%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 88%

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 86%

La Liga · Spain Girona or draw 85%

#10

Serie A · Brazil Bahia or draw 85%

#11

Bundesliga · Austria Austria Klagenfurt or draw 85%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#12

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#13

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 83%

#14

Serie A · Brazil America Mineiro or draw 82%

#15

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Gremio or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#17

Veikkausliiga · Finland VPS or draw 82%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%

#18

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#19

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 80%

#20

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Lamia (Olympiakos Piraeus or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.