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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 30 July 2023

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 31 Tue 1 Wed 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 30 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Botafogo vs Coritiba (Botafogo or draw) at 93% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil Botafogo or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 61% Botafogo Clean Sheet 57%

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 89%

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Vasteras SK FK Clean Sheet 59%

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

Eliteserien · Norway Lillestrom or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Super League · China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Veikkausliiga · Finland KuPS or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ KuPS Clean Sheet 55%

Premier League · Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 84%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#10

Primera División · Chile Union Espanola or draw 81%

#11

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#12

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 79%

#14

Super League · Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 79%

#15

Premier League · Ukraine Chornomorets or draw 78%

#16

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 77%

#17

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 77%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 77%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 75%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Superettan · Sweden Trelleborg or draw 75%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Botafogo vs Coritiba (Botafogo or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.