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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 29 July 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 29 July 2023. Fluminense vs Santos (Fluminense or draw) sits top on 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Fluminense Clean Sheet 57%

Super League · China Meizhou Kejia or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Super League · China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 82%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Superettan · Sweden Ostersunds FK or draw 81%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Primera División · Chile Cobresal or draw 81%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 81%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 80%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

#10

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 80%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

#11

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 78%

#12

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#13

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 77%

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%

#14

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Super League · Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 76%

#16

Primera División · Chile Colo Colo or draw 76%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Pardubice or draw 76%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

#18

Serie A · Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 76%

Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#19

Superettan · Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 76%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 76%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 29 July 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fluminense vs Santos (Fluminense or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.