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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 13 May 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 13 May 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Borussia Dortmund or draw) sits top on 96% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 20 landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 96%

Borussia Dortmund

5 : 2 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Win 86%

Draw 10%

Win 4%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%

Premier League · Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 92%

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 91%

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 58%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%

Eliteserien · Norway Stabaek or draw 89%

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 89%

#10

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 87%

#11

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Bastia or draw 86%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Bastia Clean Sheet 56%

#13

Eredivisie · Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 86%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

#14

Superettan · Sweden Vasteras SK FK or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 85%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#17

Serie B · Italy Ascoli or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 82%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% Benfica Clean Sheet 54%

#19

Serie B · Italy Como or draw 82%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#20

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 82%

Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Borussia Dortmund or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.