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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 12 May 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 12 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to PEC Zwolle vs Roda (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 93% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 91%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 62%

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 90%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Willem II or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Premier Division · Ireland Dundalk or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%

Serie A · Italy Lazio or draw 85%

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 66% Lazio Clean Sheet 56%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 85%

Superettan · Sweden Jonkopings Sodra or draw 83%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Magdeburg or draw 83%

#11

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 83%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%

#12

Thai League 1 · Thailand Prachuap or draw 83%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 82%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 81%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

#15

La Liga · Spain Mallorca or draw 80%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 80%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#18

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 79%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%

#19

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 78%

#20

Thai League 1 · Thailand Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 12 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PEC Zwolle vs Roda (PEC Zwolle or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.