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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 7 March 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 7 March 2023. Ipswich vs Accrington ST (Ipswich or draw) sits top on 92% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 92%
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Ipswich Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 84%
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League Two Β· England Sutton Utd or draw 83%
Sutton Utd
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 83%
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 League Two Β· England Stockport County or draw 80%
Stockport County
0 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#6 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 80%
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
#7 League One Β· England Barnsley or draw 75%
Barnsley
3 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 75%
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 7 March 2023?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Ipswich vs Accrington ST (Ipswich or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.