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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 29 October 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 29 October 2022. Liverpool vs Leeds (Liverpool or draw) sits top on 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 93%
Liverpool
1 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 93%
BG Pathum United
2 : 2 FT
Lampang FC
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#3 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 91%
Hradec Králové
1 : 3 FT
Pardubice
Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 89%
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 88%
Brentford
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 87%
Cadiz
3 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 63% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 55%
#7 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 87%
Newcastle
4 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 87%
Modena
0 : 2 FT
Palermo
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 86%
Inter
3 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 86%
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 86%
Dynamo
6 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 86%
Beijing Guoan
4 : 1 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 56%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 86%
RB Leipzig
2 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 85%
Peterborough
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Wisla Plock or draw 85%
Wisla Plock
1 : 2 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 85%
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Oostende
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#17 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 85%
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 84%
Strasbourg
2 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 16%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria Rapid Vienna or draw 84%
Austria Lustenau
3 : 3 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 84%
Bayern München
6 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 29 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Leeds (Liverpool or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.