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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 22 October 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 October 2022. Reggina vs Perugia (Reggina or draw) sits top on 89% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy Reggina or draw 89%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Reggina Clean Sheet 55%

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 89%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 88%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%

Serie A · Italy Salernitana or draw 86%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Ligue 2 · France Sochaux or draw 84%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Sochaux Clean Sheet 54%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 84%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

Ligue 2 · France Amiens or draw 84%

#10

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#11

League One · England Barnsley or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#12

League Two · England Swindon Town or draw 83%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 83%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%

#15

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 81%

#16

League One · England Plymouth or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#17

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 80%

Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#19

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal Famalicao or draw 79%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 22 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Reggina vs Perugia (Reggina or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.