Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 30 September 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 30 September 2022. FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht (FC Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven or draw
89%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk or draw
88%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town or draw
85%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
83%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
82%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
81%
Super League · China
Changchun Yatai or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
79%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
78%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock or draw
77%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
75%
Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 30 September 2022?
14 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht (FC Eindhoven or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.