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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 18 September 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 18 September 2022. Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Orenburg (Nizhny Novgorod or draw) sits top on 93% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 93%

Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 63%

Premier League · Russia FC Sochi or draw 90%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 89%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 61%

Allsvenskan · Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 88%

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 87%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 87%

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 87%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Premier League · Russia Spartak Moscow or draw 86%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%

#13

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 85%

#14

La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 85%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Real Betis Clean Sheet 53%

#15

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%

#16

La Liga · Spain Osasuna or draw 84%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%

#17

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 84%

#18

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 83%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 55%

#19

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 18 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Orenburg (Nizhny Novgorod or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.