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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 July 2022

Wed 27 Thu 28 Fri 29 Sat 30 Sun 31 Mon 1 Tue 2

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 30 July 2022. AFC Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd FF (AFC Eskilstuna or draw) sits top on 90% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden AFC Eskilstuna or draw 90%

Canadian Premier League · Canada Cavalry FC or draw 86%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%

Bundesliga · Austria Ried or draw 85%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Corinthians Clean Sheet 54%

Primera División · Chile Antofagasta or draw 84%

Serie A · Brazil Goias or draw 82%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%

Superettan · Sweden Halmstad or draw 82%

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 81%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%

#10

League One · England Wycombe or draw 81%

#11

K League 1 · South-Korea Incheon United or draw 81%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Ham-Kam or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#13

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 80%

#14

League One · England Plymouth or draw 80%

#15

League One · England Cheltenham or draw 80%

#16

Veikkausliiga · Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 79%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

#17

Championship · England Luton or draw 79%

#18

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium OH Leuven or draw 78%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

#19

League One · England Lincoln or draw 78%

#20

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 July 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AFC Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd FF (AFC Eskilstuna or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.