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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 15 May 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 15 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Napoli vs Genoa (Napoli or draw) at 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 89%

Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Süper Lig · Turkey Konyaspor or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 86%

Premier League · England Brighton or draw 86%

La Liga · Spain Levante or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IFK Norrkoping or draw 85%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 85%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 85%

#10

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 83%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 83%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%

#12

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 83%

#13

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 83%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%

#14

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 83%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 82%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%

#16

Veikkausliiga · Finland Ilves or draw 82%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

#17

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 81%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#19

Serie A · Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 80%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%

#20

Allsvenskan · Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 80%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 15 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Napoli vs Genoa (Napoli or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.