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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 16 May 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Monday 16 May 2022. Viking vs jerv (Viking or draw) led the list at 93% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 93%
Viking
3 : 0 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Viking Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Valerenga or draw 81%
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 80%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb or draw 80%
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 4 FT
Haugesund
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Championship Β· England Huddersfield or draw 79%
Huddersfield
1 : 0 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 77%
Galatasaray
3 : 2 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 76%
Lillestrom
1 : 0 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 75%
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 16 May 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs jerv (Viking or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.