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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 19 March 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 March 2022. Sheffield Utd vs Barnsley (Sheffield Utd or draw) led the list at 90% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%

Serie B · Italy Monza or draw 89%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 64%

Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 87%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%

League One · England Plymouth or draw 87%

Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Plymouth Clean Sheet 57%

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 65% Paris FC Clean Sheet 56%

Super League 1 · Greece Atromitos or draw 87%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 86%

League One · England Wigan or draw 85%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal Santa Clara or draw 85%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 85%

#12

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 85%

Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#13

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 85%

#14

Bundesliga · Austria Ried or draw 84%

#15

League Two · England Salford City or draw 83%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

#16

League Two · England Sutton Utd or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#18

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 82%

Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Antwerp or draw 82%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%

#20

Primera División · Chile Cobresal or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 19 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Barnsley (Sheffield Utd or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.