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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 20 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 20 March 2022. Juventus vs Salernitana (Juventus or draw) sits top on 89% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 89%
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Championship Β· England QPR or draw 88%
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
BTTS No 58%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 88%
Rennes
6 : 1 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 64% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 86%
Pordenone
1 : 1 FT
Brescia
Win 14%
Draw 32%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 86%
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 86%
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 30%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 86%
PSV Eindhoven
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 85%
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 84%
Boavista
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla or draw 84%
Sevilla
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 83%
Willem II
2 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 82%
Portimonense
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 82%
RWDM
3 : 0 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile Huachipato or draw 81%
Huachipato
2 : 3 FT
D. La Serena
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden or draw 81%
St. Truiden
3 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 80%
Bologna
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 80%
Club Brugge KV
3 : 1 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Pacos Ferreira or draw 79%
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 1 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain Espanyol or draw 79%
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 78%
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 20 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Juventus vs Salernitana (Juventus or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.