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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 5 March 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 5 March 2022. Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) sits top on 91% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Austria Red Bull Salzburg or draw 91%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Red Bull Salzburg Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany VfL Bochum or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Super League · Switzerland FC Zurich or draw 89%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 55%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 88%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lechia Gdansk or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 86%

Serie B · Italy Como or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 84%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%

#10

La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%

#11

Serie B · Italy Pisa or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Premier League · England Leicester or draw 84%

Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 68%

#13

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

League Two · England Sutton Utd or draw 84%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#15

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Faisaly FC or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 82%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 82%

#18

League Two · England Crawley Town or draw 81%

#19

League Two · England Northampton or draw 81%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%

#20

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sigma Olomouc or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 March 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach (Red Bull Salzburg or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.