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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 25 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 25 February 2022. Genoa vs Inter (Inter or draw) led the list at 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 90%
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Inter
Win 10%
Draw 29%
Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Inter Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 87%
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 87%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Adana Demirspor Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 86%
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 85%
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Premier League Β· England Southampton or draw 83%
Southampton
2 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 82%
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen or draw 82%
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 80%
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 79%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 78%
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United or draw 77%
Drogheda United
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 77%
Minai
– : – CANC
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Jazira or draw 76%
Emirates Club
0 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 75%
Hannover 96
2 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 25 February 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Inter (Inter or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.