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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 23 February 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 23 February 2022. Fulham vs Peterborough (Fulham or draw) sits top on 95% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 95%
Fulham
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 73%
#2 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 91%
Liverpool
6 : 0 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 86%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 0 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 82%
Gent
4 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce or draw 81%
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Cittadella
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
#6 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 80%
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Ascoli or draw 80%
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 79%
Derby
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 77%
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Reggina
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece Ionikos or draw 77%
Ionikos
4 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 77%
Aris Thessalonikis
3 : 0 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Crotone or draw 76%
Crotone
3 : 3 FT
Cosenza
Win 39%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 23 February 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Fulham vs Peterborough (Fulham or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.