Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Wednesday 23 February 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Wednesday 23 February 2022. Fulham vs Peterborough (Fulham or draw) sits top on 95% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Championship Β· England
Fulham or draw
95%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool or draw
91%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent or draw
82%
Serie B Β· Italy
Lecce or draw
81%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd or draw
80%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli or draw
80%
Championship Β· England
Derby or draw
79%
Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone or draw
77%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos or draw
77%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
77%
Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone or draw
76%
Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 23 February 2022?
twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Fulham vs Peterborough (Fulham or draw) at 95% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.