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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 12 February 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 12 February 2022. Norwich vs Manchester City (Manchester City or draw) led the list at 90% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 90%

✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Manchester City Clean Sheet 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Lech Poznan or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy Torino or draw 86%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%

Ligue 2 · France Auxerre or draw 86%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

League Two · England Newport County or draw 86%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Anderlecht or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 84%

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 84%

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 68% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 56%

#10

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 84%

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 55%

#11

Championship · England Fulham or draw 84%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Paris FC or draw 83%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

Ligue 2 · France Ajaccio or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 73% Ajaccio Clean Sheet 60%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 83%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 67% SC Braga Clean Sheet 55%

#17

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 83%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#18

Super League · Switzerland Grasshoppers or draw 82%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%

#19

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#20

Championship · England QPR or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

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Dutch Football Predictions

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 12 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Manchester City (Manchester City or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.