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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 15 January 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 15 January 2022. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum (FSV Mainz 05 or draw) sits top on 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 92%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 88%

Ligue 2 · France Toulouse or draw 87%

Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Wigan or draw 86%

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 84%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 84%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 84%

Championship · England Fulham or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

League Two · England Tranmere or draw 83%

#11

2. Bundesliga · Germany SV Darmstadt 98 or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#12

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 82%

#13

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 81%

#14

League Two · England Exeter City or draw 81%

#15

Championship · England Blackburn or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 80%

#17

Ligue 2 · France Guingamp or draw 80%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Fatih Karagümrük or draw 80%

#19

League Two · England Bristol Rovers or draw 79%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 15 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum (FSV Mainz 05 or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.