🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 January 2022

Thu 13 Fri 14 Sat 15 Sun 16 Mon 17 Tue 18 Wed 19

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Belenenses vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) at 92% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Arminia Bielefeld or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Heidenheim or draw 87%

Ligue 1 · France Monaco or draw 85%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 81%

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%

Premier League · England West Ham or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#10

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 80%

Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%

#12

Serie A · Italy Empoli or draw 80%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#13

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 79%

#14

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 79%

#15

Thai League 1 · Thailand Police Tero or draw 79%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 79%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 65%

#17

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 78%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

#18

Serie B · Italy Benevento or draw 77%

Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#19

Serie B · Italy Lecce or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#20

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Belenenses vs FC Porto (FC Porto or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.