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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 10 December 2021

Tue 7 Wed 8 Thu 9 Fri 10 Sat 11 Sun 12 Mon 13

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 10 December 2021. Emmen vs Dordrecht (Emmen or draw) led the list at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Emmen or draw 90%

Serie A · Brazil Fluminense or draw 87%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Fluminense Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Köln or draw 85%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 83%

Serie B · Italy Cremonese or draw 82%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

Serie A · Brazil America Mineiro or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ America Mineiro Clean Sheet 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 80%

Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Excelsior or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#10

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 78%

Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#11

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#12

Premier League · Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 78%

#13

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 78%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#14

2. Bundesliga · Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

#15

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 77%

#16

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Charleroi or draw 77%

#17

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 77%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 77%

#19

Serie A · Brazil RB Bragantino or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#20

Serie A · Brazil Juventude or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 10 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Emmen vs Dordrecht (Emmen or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.