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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 5 December 2021

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 December 2021. Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec (Bohemians 1905 or draw) led the list at 90% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 90%

Premier League · Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 88%

Eliteserien · Norway Stromsgodset or draw 88%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 87%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 87%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 64%

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

La Liga · Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#10

Süper Lig · Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

#11

Serie A · Brazil Corinthians or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%

#12

Eliteserien · Norway Sandefjord or draw 82%

#13

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#14

Premier League · Russia Khimki or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#15

2. Bundesliga · Germany Hamburger SV or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#16

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 81%

Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#17

Eliteserien · Norway Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw 81%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%

#18

Primera División · Chile Union La Calera or draw 81%

Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

#19

Ligue 1 · France Montpellier or draw 81%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

#20

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 81%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians 1905 vs FK Jablonec (Bohemians 1905 or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.