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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 19 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 19 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Hannover 96 vs SC Paderborn 07 (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 89% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Paderborn 07 or draw 89%
Hannover 96
0 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 11%
Draw 24%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 85%
Zenit
5 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 85%
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 84%
SV Sandhausen
1 : 2 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 84%
Helmond Sport
1 : 5 FT
Excelsior
Win 16%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 82%
Chornomorets
1 : 6 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 82%
FC Augsburg
2 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland Finn Harps or draw 80%
Finn Harps
5 : 0 FT
Longford Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 79%
Levante
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 21%
Draw 33%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 79%
Telstar
0 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 21%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 60%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 78%
Monaco
2 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 77%
Dordrecht
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 76%
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Sport Recife or draw 76%
Sport Recife
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 75%
Almere City FC
0 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 19 November 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hannover 96 vs SC Paderborn 07 (SC Paderborn 07 or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.