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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 5 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 5 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza (Wisla Plock or draw) at 87% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Wisla Plock or draw 87%
Wisla Plock
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Nürnberg or draw 86%
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 85%
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 85%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 0 FT
Kasımpaşa
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 83%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United or draw 81%
Lommel United
1 : 3 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fayha or draw 81%
Al-Fayha
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Al-Fayha Clean Sheet 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong PSV U21 or draw 79%
Jong PSV U21
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 79%
Lens
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands De Graafschap or draw 79%
Den Bosch
2 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 78%
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 78%
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Boavista or draw 76%
Boavista
2 : 5 FT
Famalicao
Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 76%
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 2 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Cosenza or draw 76%
Cosenza
0 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil Cuiaba or draw 75%
Cuiaba
0 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 5 November 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wisla Plock vs Nieciecza (Wisla Plock or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.