Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 26 September 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 26 September 2021. Royal Excel Mouscron vs KVC Westerlo (KVC Westerlo or draw) led the list at 90% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo or draw
90%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
86%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
85%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund or draw
84%
Primera División · Chile
Nublense or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
83%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo or draw
82%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes or draw
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord or draw
82%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa or draw
81%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
81%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg or draw
80%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese or draw
80%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Spanish Football Predictions
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German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 26 September 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Royal Excel Mouscron vs KVC Westerlo (KVC Westerlo or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.