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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 12 August 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 12 August 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon (Al-Hazm or draw) at 86% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the double chance market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hazm or draw 86%
Al-Hazm v Al Taawon prediction
Win 49%
Draw 38%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 86% BTTS No 82% Al-Hazm Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Raed or draw 83%
Al-Raed v Al-Fateh prediction
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 75% ✓ Al-Raed Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League Β· China SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 76%
Hebei Zhongji v SHANGHAI SIPG prediction
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Shabab or draw 75%
Abha v Al Shabab prediction
Win 25%
Draw 33%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 12 August 2021?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon (Al-Hazm or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.