Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 14 August 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 14 August 2021. Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley or draw) sits top on 96% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Premier League supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Burnley or draw
96%
Premier League · England
Chelsea or draw
96%
Premier League · England
Everton or draw
96%
Premier League · England
Leicester or draw
96%
Premier League · England
Watford or draw
96%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw
87%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
87%
Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Altay or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
85%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk or draw
84%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg or draw
83%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
83%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Norwich or draw
82%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 14 August 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Brighton (Burnley or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.