Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 30 June 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 30 June 2021. Molde vs Stromsgodset (Molde or draw) led the list at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 92%
Molde v Stromsgodset prediction
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 90%
Viking v Stromsgodset prediction
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 88%
Tromso v Molde prediction
Tromso
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 84%
Viking v Stabaek prediction
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 82%
Lillestrom v Brann prediction
Lillestrom
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 81%
HIFK Helsinki v HJK Helsinki prediction
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 81%
Bahia v America Mineiro prediction
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 69% Bahia Clean Sheet 55%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 81%
Rosenborg v Haugesund prediction
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 78%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Mjondalen or draw 77%
Mjondalen v Haugesund prediction
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#11 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 76%
Kooteepee v Ilves prediction
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 75%
Inter Turku v Lahti prediction
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 30 June 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Stromsgodset (Molde or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.