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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Monday 29 December 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 29 December 2025. Birmingham vs Southampton led the list at 71% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 19%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 0 FT
Al Najma
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 2 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Championship · England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
QPR
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 1 FT
Bristol City
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Leicester
2 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Wrexham
2 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 35%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 1 FT
Exeter City
Win 36%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 72%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
League One · England
Barnsley
0 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League One · England
Blackpool
4 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Bolton
0 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League One · England
Burton Albion
0 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Huddersfield
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League One · England
Luton
3 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Stockport County
4 : 2 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cardiff
2 : 1 FT
Stevenage
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
0 : 2 FT
Barnet
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
0 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Chesterfield
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 3 FT
Bromley
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 2 FT
Oldham
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 1 FT
Genoa
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
AVS
✓ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 13%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 29 December 2025?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Birmingham vs Southampton at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.