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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 26 December 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

45 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 26 December 2025. Al Kholood vs Al Taawon led the list at 74% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
3 : 5 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 0 FT
Ipswich
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Norwich
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
QPR
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Swansea
✓ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Championship · England
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Oxford United
2 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
0 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 2 FT
Hull City
Win 11%
Draw 17%
Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 25%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League One · England
Barnsley
2 : 3 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
League One · England
Bradford
2 : 1 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Burton Albion
5 : 1 FT
Northampton
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League One · England
Huddersfield
5 : 0 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Luton
4 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
League One · England
Peterborough
1 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
✓ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
League One · England
Plymouth
1 : 4 FT
Reading
Win 23%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Lincoln
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Cardiff
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
✓ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Accrington ST
2 : 1 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bromley
Win 17%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League Two · England
Cheltenham
3 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Chesterfield
2 : 0 FT
Notts County
✓ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Grimsby
0 : 0 FT
Oldham
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Walsall
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 0 FT
Barnet
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
0 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Serie B · Italy
Modena
1 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Wrexham
5 : 3 FT
Sheffield Utd
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
✓ Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
1 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
1 : 0 FT
Newcastle
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 45 of 45 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 26 December 2025?

45 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Kholood vs Al Taawon at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.