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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 22 August 2025

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 34 fixtures on Friday 22 August 2025. Almere City FC vs Willem II sits top on 65% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Rayong FC
1 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 35%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS
3 : 2 FT
Kooteepee
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
KFUM Oslo
2 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 3 FT
Nancy
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 0 FT
Emmen
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge II
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KAA Gent II
1 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
6 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Pescara
1 : 3 FT
Cesena
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 2 FT
Göztepe
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
3 : 0 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 5 FT
Chelsea
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
0 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Alaves
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
4 : 1 FT
Valour
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 22 August 2025?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by Almere City FC vs Willem II at 65% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.