Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 21 May 2023

Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

78 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 21 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Brighton vs Southampton at 71% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 0–2 · 14%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Primera División · Chile

Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 0–2 · 12%

K League 1 · South-Korea

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%

Model Score 0–1 · 19%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 70%

Model Score 0–0 · 20%

Premier League · Russia

Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

La Liga · Spain

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · Switzerland

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier League · England

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 0–2 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Eredivisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Bundesliga · Austria

Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Bundesliga · Austria

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · England

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%

Model Score 0–0 · 20%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Veikkausliiga · Finland

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Model Score 1–0 · 11%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

La Liga · Spain

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Super League · Switzerland

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · Switzerland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · England

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

Bundesliga · Austria

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ligue 1 · France

Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 0–0 · 16%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

Model Score 2–0 · 12%

Allsvenskan · Sweden

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Süper Lig · Turkey

✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Süper Lig · Turkey

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Premier League · Russia

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Bundesliga · Germany

Bayer Leverkusen

2 : 2 FT

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Win 64%

Draw 22%

Win 14%

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Ligue 1 · France

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Serie A · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Brazil

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 2–0 · 10%

La Liga · Spain

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie A · Brazil

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 1–0 · 14%

Primera División · Chile

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 15%

Showing 78 of 78 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 21 May 2023?

78 fixtures met the criteria, led by Brighton vs Southampton at 71% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.