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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 10 December 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 30 fixtures on Saturday 10 December 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Beijing Guoan sits top on 79% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 4 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 7%
Draw 11%
✓ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 0–3 · 9%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 13%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 68%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 4 FT
Preston
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 3 FT
Bristol City
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League One · England
Ipswich
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 FT
Bolton
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Reading
1 : 0 FT
Coventry
✓ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Burton Albion
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
2 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Championship · England
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Wigan
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
✓ Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Norwich
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Grimsby
2 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 24%
Draw 34%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
League Two · England
Newport County
0 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stevenage
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
0 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 1 FT
Dender
✓ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 30 of 30 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 10 December 2022?

30 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Beijing Guoan at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.